Sha Tin 13th December HKIR

A great day of racing. Not such a great day results wise. Was happy enough with the figures, just pulled the wrong rein a few times. We need to get on more top rated runners as they are winning at a good strike rate.  I plan on altering my approach in this regard. Adjusting the pricing model towards speed should tip the scales  and odds a bit more towards the top raters and get us a price more often.

It is vital that members also keep an eye on the market and save on horses like Werther that are rated under $20 and get a good yard report. It is sometimes nigh on impossible to advise abet with 1 or 2 minutes to the jump.

Hong Cup Winner A Shin Hakari
Hong Cup Winner A Shin Hakari

It was very difficult to rate the international races and they are pretty much one off scenarios each year. No form or speed figures to line up.

OUT:12.49    IN: 5.5   -6.99

Race 1 - Liked Jolly Jolly, but he was unders. Top two rated run first and third. No collect we back Run Forrest who ran well for third but got too far back. (-0.9 units)

Race 2 - Sergeant Titanium was unders so we backed the overs that were under $20. Happilababy was re-rated post yard report to $10 and saluted at $11 (+3.44 units)

Race 4 -  The HK Vase. Second rated Highland Reel was well backed late and won after a masterful ride by Ryan Moore. No bet for us at $5.50 (rated $8) Backed the french 3yo Dariyan which ran on strongly for third and is definitely a horse on the rise.  Quinella play 1st and third(-2.16)

Race 6 - Apollo's Choice rated well again and ran well for 2nd. Grrrrr. Wah May Freind was going strongly then got chopped out at the 200m game over there. Saved on Werther (rated $12.90, paid $17 some outlets).  Not recorded as a bet because I couldn't alert in time. (-2.4) (with Werther +6.58) Double Grrrrr.

Race 9 - Backed a few to upset the favourites Sun Jewellery (top rated winner) and Lucky Bubbles 3rd. Sun Jewellery romped in. This is exactly the kind of top rater we need to get on. Got to $2.40 late which was, on reflection, a good price. (-2.43)

Race 10 - Friends of Ka Ying was the top rater and he ran a good race at odds just missing the placings. Third rater Fabulous One won easily after being left alone in front. Second rated Amazing Kids was second. (-2.54)

Amazing Kids courtesy HKJC
Amazing Kids courtesy HKJC
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HKSpeedKing

Database developer and successful horse racing punter for 30 years. Turning my gaze to Hong Kong hoping to find a few winners.

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